The Boston Celtics (10-8) visit the Golden State Warriors (11-9) for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off at Chase Center Tuesday. Below, we analyze the Celtics-Warriors NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The NBA Las Vegas Odds are listed in order of rotation and those numbers are generated and produced by the sportsbooks. Above each matchup and rotation is the Time of the game, which is subject to change. All game times are Eastern Standard Time. One of the best features on the NBA Vegas Odds is the Open Line. Copy URL; celtics vs warriors predictions: Related News. 25, 2021 - Celtics vs.Hawks odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Feb. 24 predictions from model on 85-49 roll CBS Sports - www.cbssports.comCeltics vs. Hawks odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Feb. 24 predictions from model on 85-49 rol.
Celtics SF Jayson Tatum’s five-game absence from Jan. 15-24 after testing positive for COVID-19 was the main contributor in the team’s 2-5 straight-up record (3-4 against the spread) over the last seven games. The Celtic have lost two in a row—to the San Antonio Spurs last Wednesday and the Los Angeles Lakers Saturday. Tatum played in both.
The Warriors played pretty well in the second half of January, winning back-to-back games over the Lakers and Spurs, which was part of a 5-3 record (5-3 ATS) to end the month. Over that stretch, Golden State was eighth in net rating and effective field-goal percentage.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.
Money line: Celtics -140 (bet $140 to win $100) Warriors +115 (bet $100 to win $115)Against the spread/ATS: Celtics -2.5 (-110) Warriors +2.5 (-110)Over/Under: 226.5 (O: -115 U: -105)Celtics
SG Marcus Smart (calf) outPG Payton Pritchard (knee) outWarriors
C James Wiseman (wrist) outPF Draymond Green (thigh) probablePF Eric PaschallPlace a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!
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Celtics 117, Warriors 110
For me, the two biggest factors in this game are Boston’s motivation and Golden State’s injury report. The Warriors are going to be without Wiseman—who’s the team’s active leader in rebounds per game and third-leading scorer—and their sixth man in Paschall.
While the Celtics’ last two losses are nothing to be ashamed of, Boston isn’t where it wants to be in the standings and we haven’t seen its best basketball yet.
Golden State’s offense is too dependent on PG Steph Curry spacing the floor and Boston’s defense has held opponents to the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA since Jan. 14, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
I leanCELTICS (-140) because I could go either way on Boston’s money line or spread.
Since I prefer to not fuss with the points, I only leanCELTICS -2.5 (-110) but Boston is the right side here.
The Celtics are coming off a single-point loss to the Lakers whereas the Warriors beat the Lakers 115-113 in their most recent meeting. Why that’s important is because this is also a statement game.
The last nine Celtics-Warriors games have gone Under the projected total and Tatum has never scored 20 points when playing against SF Andrew Wiggins in four career games, and he has scored 20 or more only twice in his seven career games against SF Kelly Oubre Jr.
Golden State’s 29th ranking in opponent’s FTA/FGA rate mixed with the Celtics-Warriors officiating crew having a combined 28-13 O/U record this season causes me to PASS ON THE TOTAL.
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Also see:
Celtics’ Marcus Smart dodges more serious injury, has Grade 1 calf strain (Celtics Wire)James Wiseman to be reevaluated in 7-10 days after spraining wrist vs. Pistons (Warriors Wire)Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
Golden State probably won’t be back in the NBA Finals this year, but the Warriors are back on track as a franchise. They were the worst team in the NBA last season with Klay Thompson missing the entire season and Stephen Curry only playing five games.
Thompson is still out after sustaining a new season-ending injury, but Curry is back and has made the Warriors competitive again. They are 8-4 at home and out to improve on that mark when the Boston Celtics head to the Bay Area on Tuesday night.
Subject to Change
Boston looked to be one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference through the first few weeks of the season. The Celtics got off to a 7-3 start before COVID led to three straight games being cancelled. They responded with a 124-97 beatdown of Orlando once they were cleared to play again, but this team hasn’t been the same over the last couple weeks.
The Celtics have lost five of their last seven games, starting with a loss to the New York Knicks where Boston was only able to score 75 points. They blew out Cleveland and Chicago on back-to-back nights last week, but they fell to the Spurs 110-106 in San Antonio on Wednesday before Saturday’s tough one-point loss to the Los Angeles Lakers.
Every Boston fan held their breath when Marcus Smart fell to a heap on the court after colliding with Lakers' big man Montrezl Harrell. Smart was unable to put any weight on his leg, but an MRI revealed no major damage. His absence in the fourth quarter allowed the Lakers to come back and beat the Celtics 96-95 with Boston scoring just 17 fourth quarter points.
It’s been two steps forward and two steps back for Golden State this season. The Warriors have yet to win more than two games in a row or lose more than two games in a row through 20 games. They have won three of their last four coming into Tuesday night after Saturday’s comfortable 118-91 win over the Detroit Pistons.
Golden State won every quarter en route to the victory. Detroit only had two players score more than eight points as Blake Griffin went 1-8 from the floor for five points. Curry was lights out, making 11 of 17 field goals for a game-high 28 points, but he also turned the ball over five times in the game.
(SU-Straight Up, ATS - Against the Spread, OU - Over-Under)
Inside the Stats (2020-2021)
Kemba Walker is coming off his worst performance of the season. Walker went 1-12 and 0-5 from downtown in Saturday’s loss to the Lakers. Walker has only played six games this year, and he hasn’t looked sharp. He is making just 37.3 percent of his field goals and 29.3 percent of his threes.
Jaylen Brown continues to improve. He leads Boston with 27.1 PPG, and he is making 53.1 percent of his field goals and 44.3 percent of his threes. Brown will have to shoulder an even bigger load these next few weeks while Smart recovers from a calf injury.
After missing more than two weeks due to COVID, Jayson Tatum is back in the lineup. He made his return last Monday against the Bulls, scoring 24 points in a comfortable win. Tatum had a great night against the Lakers on Saturday, making 12 of 18 field goals for 30 points with nine rebounds too.
Boston’s offense has been somewhat stilted. Despite having some very talented scoring threats in Brown and Tatum, the Celtics are in the middle of the pack in offense. Some of that might be attributed to the lack of a set-up guard as the Celtics rank among the worst teams in the NBA in assists per made field goal.
Inside the Stats (2020-2021)
Curry is the heart and soul of this team. He is averaging 27.7 PPG while knocking down 46.3 percent of his shots and 40.8 percent of his threes. Curry recently surpassed Reggie Miller to move into second place on the all-time three-point leaders list.
The Warriors rely on him to do more than just score though. We have seen him become a consummate team player with 5.4 RPG and 6.1 APG, and his defense has improved significantly over the course of his career.
Andrew Wiggins has rejuvenated his career in Golden State. Wiggins was largely written off after languishing in Minnesota, but the No. 1 pick is playing closer to his potential with the Warriors. He is averaging 17.9 PPG, 4.9 RPG, and 1.5 BPG and hitting better than 40 percent from beyond the arc. Wiggins had never made more than 36 percent of his threes in any of his previous six seasons.
The wild card for the Warriors this season is James Wiseman. The rookie only played three games during his one year at Memphis, but his potential was so apparent that Golden State selected him with the No. 2 overall pick in the 2020 NBA Draft.
Draymond Green has taken it upon himself to help Wiseman out, and he appears to be on his way to becoming a solid player. Wiseman is averaging 12.2 PPG and 6.1 RPG in this system. He can stretch the floor as a 7’0 center, sinking 40.9 percent of his treys.
As for Green, he is even more of an offensive liability than he was in previous years. In 26.6 MPG, Green is averaging just 4.8 PPG and making just 34.9 percent of his baskets and 21.2 percent of his threes. He is still an elite defender though, and he is the only other mainstay on the roster besides Curry that went to five straight NBA Finals.
The loss of Smart right before taking on Golden State stings in a particular way for the Celtics. He could have at least slowed down Curry as one of the better perimeter defenders in the league. Instead, Curry will shine in a Golden State win.